Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 1.240286 1.520144 1.884906 2.412778 3.190415 4.356896 6.388529
2025-11-23 0.857240 1.144660 1.575681 2.324024 3.740242 6.769814 16.165270
2025-11-30 0.700994 0.991663 1.472859 2.435144 4.710108 11.893675 71.468989
2025-12-07 0.591627 0.868956 1.359582 2.445990 5.520476 19.894308 1370.467273
2025-12-14 0.508061 0.765178 1.241170 2.375367 6.073829 31.492413 NaN
2025-12-21 0.450205 0.692593 1.159202 2.346587 6.789098 55.937855 NaN
2025-12-28 0.424263 0.671405 1.173088 2.574748 9.082238 239.405728 NaN
2026-01-04 0.395123 0.638302 1.151777 2.694707 11.344539 4133.882981 NaN
2026-01-11 0.363734 0.595523 1.097835 2.684228 12.929929 NaN NaN
2026-01-18 0.333253 0.550267 1.028437 2.588549 13.714572 NaN NaN
2026-01-25 0.313902 0.525039 1.002255 2.640916 16.462537 NaN NaN
2026-02-01 0.300169 0.509515 0.996823 2.775457 21.539169 NaN NaN
2026-02-08 0.282307 0.483605 0.960929 2.773303 25.240437 NaN NaN
2026-02-15 0.262831 0.452278 0.905640 2.661655 26.414449 NaN NaN
2026-02-22 0.253127 0.441126 0.902830 2.797033 36.656754 NaN NaN
2026-03-01 0.240899 0.423036 0.877469 2.810227 44.984155 NaN NaN
2026-03-08 0.227353 0.400725 0.836615 2.723721 48.550030 NaN NaN
2026-03-15 0.216389 0.383307 0.807360 2.688544 56.187310 NaN NaN
2026-03-22 0.213399 0.383725 0.830329 2.968519 114.241386 NaN NaN
2026-03-29 0.207523 0.376831 0.830128 3.116741 212.540737 NaN NaN
2026-04-05 0.199147 0.363297 0.807163 3.103766 301.404048 NaN NaN
2026-04-12 0.189649 0.346399 0.771388 2.985536 323.012229 NaN NaN
2026-04-19 0.183892 0.338033 0.761743 3.050190 654.814245 NaN NaN